BLACK CAMEL®

Rethinking deposit pricing under changing rates

Understanding the trade-off between deposit retention and margin discipline.

BANKS / ILLUSTRATIVE ENGAGEMENT
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Illustrative engagement · Banks

Illustrative engagements are composite examples showing how we approach this type of work. They do not describe a specific client.

Abstract

Understanding the trade-off between deposit retention and margin discipline.

Fig. 1 — A visual study of evidence and uncertainty.

A regional US bank

The question

A changing rate environment made historical deposit betas a weak guide to future customer behavior.

Our approach

We segmented customers by observed balance behavior and modeled rate sensitivity across products and relationship depth.

Methods

Method
Cohort analysis
Method
Econometric modeling
Method
Customer segmentation
Method
Scenario simulation

Outcome

Leadership gained a more differentiated pricing framework and a clearer view of which balances merited proactive retention.